Mateo Carballo vs Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second Serve Performance: Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo has a recent second-serve win rate of 39.17%, slightly lower than Mateo Carballo's 44.59%. Does this suggest a marginal advantage for Carballo? Yes, especially considering the predictive accuracy of this metric.
• Return Game: Recent stats show Cardozo wins 47.58% of opponents' second serves, while Carballo captures 50.88%. On first serve returns, Cardozo trails with 32.15% compared to Carballo's 35.28%. This implies Carballo's stronger return game gives him an edge.
• Under Pressure: Cardozo has saved 43.80% of breakpoints, while Carballo has saved 48.28%. Is Carballo more resilient under pressure? Statistically, yes, he appears to handle critical moments slightly better.
• Overall Performance: Cardozo outperforms overall, winning 60.38% of matches in the past year, significantly more than Carballo's 38.46%. Does Cardozo's consistency make him a more reliable contender? It suggests so over a broader set of games.
• Best Surface: Both players excel on clay, each with 64% career win rates. Will this surface favor one over the other? The stats show they're evenly matched on clay.
• Player Level: Cardozo has a 63.16% win rate in ITF tournaments, superior to Carballo's 38.46%. What does this indicate about Cardozo's experience level? He appears more accustomed to winning at this competition tier.
• Opponent Quality: Cardozo has faced opponents with an average rank of 348.66, whereas Carballo has encountered stronger competitors, averaging a rank of 180.08. Could Carballo's tougher opposition prepare him better for this match? It's a possibility.
• Deciding Sets: Carballo wins 40% of deciding sets versus Cardozo's 36%. Is Carballo more dependable in tight situations? Slightly, according to recent performance.
• Breakpoint Conversion: Currently, Cardozo converts 34.29% of breakpoint chances, contrasted with Carballo's 40.32%. Does this highlight Carballo's potential to seize opportunities more effectively? Yes, it could be crucial in close games.

Editorial Prediction (November 26, 2025, UTC):

As we examine the current form and relevant statistics, both Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo and Mateo Carballo show unique strengths and areas where they excel. Carballo's superior second-serve performance and return game offer him a small tactical advantage. His ability to convert breakpoints and handle pressure situations further compounds this edge.

Conversely, Cardozo's overall match win percentage and consistency underscore his reliability across multiple matches, particularly in events he has frequently played in. However, his experience, primarily against lower-ranked opponents, might not fully translate against Carballo's more challenging opposition.

In a match likely to be closely contested, the data slightly favors Mateo Carballo as the more probable winner, based on his superior ability to handle high-stakes points and a slightly better win rate in critical moments. Nevertheless, Cardozo's performance could flip the narrative, especially if playing on his preferred surface.